Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.134367 0.149195 0.164359 0.180989 0.198674 0.216882 0.237007
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.117523 0.138364 0.160451 0.185468 0.212887 0.241903 0.274804
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.103357 0.128285 0.155547 0.187291 0.222965 0.261559 0.306210
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.090943 0.118700 0.149961 0.187288 0.230172 0.277459 0.333104
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081400 0.111388 0.146092 0.188476 0.238124 0.293773 0.360202
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.072276 0.103688 0.141024 0.187619 0.243198 0.306442 0.382921
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.066767 0.099867 0.140136 0.191321 0.253307 0.324715 0.411977
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060611 0.094677 0.137119 0.192067 0.259607 0.338349 0.435543
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.054941 0.089631 0.133878 0.192189 0.264879 0.350580 0.457349
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049373 0.084259 0.129837 0.190976 0.268254 0.360356 0.476125
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045408 0.080762 0.127965 0.192284 0.274569 0.373557 0.498926
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043269 0.079663 0.129133 0.197403 0.285589 0.392462 0.528625
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039229 0.075623 0.126268 0.197312 0.290214 0.403850 0.549709
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036857 0.073877 0.126414 0.201110 0.299761 0.421328 0.578288
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033924 0.071033 0.124849 0.202484 0.306108 0.434812 0.602019
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030753 0.067543 0.122157 0.202161 0.310134 0.445331 0.622088
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028259 0.064932 0.120569 0.203224 0.315888 0.457983 0.644804
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025439 0.061523 0.117608 0.202215 0.318783 0.466940 0.662895
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024069 0.060491 0.118123 0.206037 0.328097 0.484089 0.691275
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022076 0.058173 0.116547 0.206783 0.333209 0.495827 0.712873
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020106 0.055709 0.114604 0.206889 0.337379 0.506311 0.732888
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018014 0.052800 0.111795 0.205604 0.339552 0.514146 0.749521
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016620 0.051111 0.110841 0.206969 0.345326 0.526660 0.772130